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Odds to Win Eurovision 2023 – Should You Bet on Sweden to Win This Year?

Last Updated May 3, 2023 1:22 pm PDT
Eurovision logo centered, Song Content United Kingdom Liverpool 2023 text with sounds waves and money surrounding
  • BetUS released its odds for the 2023 Eurovision song contest and offers better prices than competitors.
  • Loreen’s song “Tattoo” is the number one favorite with 2023 Eurovision odds of -135.
  • Croatia’s wacky anti-war song could prove to be the biggest surprise of the song contest.

Swedish singer Loreen has a chance to become only the second person in history to win two Eurovision Song Contest as a performer (Ireland’s Johnny Logan did it in the 1980s).

After winning the 2012 Eurovision with “Euphoria,” Loreen is favored to do it again with the 2023 Eurovision odds of -135.

She’s an odds-on favorite on all gambling apps that cover Eurovision, suggesting that she’s almost certainly going to be the one to triumph at Liverpool Arena on May 13.

All the other entries come as “plus money” bets, but that only means you can win big money if they win. Let’s see how good their Eurovision 2023 odds actually are.

Latest Odds to Win Eurovision 2023

The 2023 Eurovision betting odds listed above are from BetUS. You can also check out the complete list of countries competing in this year’s competition.

This site offers better prices than its competitors, but that’s just the tip of the iceberg. To learn more about why this online sportsbook is a great choice for entertainment betting, the best thing you can do is read our BetUS review.

Of course, if for some reason you don’t want to bet on Eurovision at BetUS, there are plenty of other options. The 2023 Eurovision odds are available at many real money gambling sites, all of which see Sweden as the top favorite.

So, follow the steps listed below to find one that fits your demands.

Why Is Sweden the 2023 Eurovision Favorite?

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2023? The short answer is – probably.

Loreen’s “Tattoo” is topping the list of 2023 Eurovision favorites, with the odds as short as -135. That’s the BetUS odds I’m talking about, while most other sites offer even shorter odds.

So, if you’re going to back Sweden, the best value awaits you at BetUS.

But should you back Loreen? I think so because favorites win almost every time. Ukraine won it last year at -400, Italy won it two years ago at +250, the Netherlands did it in 2019 at -200, and so on.

The big question isn’t whether the favorite will win the 2023 Eurovision; it’s whether Sweden’s entry should be considered the favorite.

So, should it? Instead of me telling you what to think, you can judge it by yourself by placing your wager at BetUS.

Top 2023 Eurovision Contenders

Whether you like Loreen’s song or not, there’s one thing you should know. “Tattoo” isn’t doing great in charts around Europe. Its peak position in Sweden is unsurprisingly No. 1, but in most other countries, it’s not even in the top 10.

This practically means that despite the 2023 Eurovision odds suggesting otherwise, we might see a country other than Sweden winning the competition in May.

So, which countries are most likely to do so?

Finland (+400)

The reason why Käärijä – “Cha Cha Cha” is second on the list of Eurovision 2023 favorites is that this is a good song.

Its catchy upbeat melody has already made it very popular in Scandinavia, while its video on YouTube has more views than “Tattoo.”

You should also consider the live performance, which can sway people to vote for it on the night of the contest.

It’s happened before, and I won’t be surprised if Käärijä’s WWE-style show makes voters (and the jury) fall in love with “Cha Cha Cha.”

Ukraine (+550)

In all honestly, “Heart of Steel” by Tvorchi doesn’t seem like the kind of song that would win the Eurovision. At least not in normal circumstances.

Don’t get me wrong; this isn’t a bad song. It’s actually the opposite. But the Eurovision crowd prefers glitzy pop songs to RNB entries with a deeper meaning, such as “Heart of Steel.”

However, one mustn’t forget that both the public and the jury do Eurovision voting. And most of the time, it’s the televoting that matters the most.

Last year, for example, Ukraine Kalush Orkestra received only 192 points from the jury. However, “Stefania” ended up winning anyway, thanks to 631 televote points. Why wouldn’t the same happen again?

After all, there are still nearly 8 million Ukrainian refugees remaining in European countries.

You can be sure that many of them will vote for “Heart of Steel,” especially given that the song was inspired by the plight of the Azovstal defenders during the 2022 siege of Mariupol.

My Favorite Eurovision Sleepers for 2023

BetOnline offers some good Eurovision 2023 odds and I’m picking Croatia as my sleeper bet for this year’s competition.

“Heart of Steel” isn’t the only Eurovision 2023 song inspired by the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Croatia’s Mama ŠČ! is another one.

Performed by parody group Let 3, the song ridicules Vladimir Putin, referring to him as “that little psychopath.”

Then there’s the stage performance with all-male Let 3 members sporting Soviet trench coats and women’s lingerie while in full makeup. Such a performance would be a no-go in Putin’s Russia, but the Eurovision crowd might find it funny.

However, oddsmakers think the song is too goofy to win the contest. They’re giving the 2023 Eurovision winner odds of +8000 for Let 3.

If you agree with bookies that this song is too flamboyant even for Eurovision standards, then you might want to consider some other longshots. Below are three sleepers that I believe could be worth backing.

France (+1200)

Performed by La Zarra, “Évidemment” is France’s entry for this year’s Eurovision Song Contest.

The song is loved by critics and is expected to win a lot of votes from juries around the continent. In fact, some betting sites see it as the second-favorite to win the jury vote (behind Sweden).

United Kingdom (+5000)

The UK is in shared third place by the number of Eurovision wins, with five of its songs winning the contest so far. However, the last time it happened was in 1997.

Twenty-six years definitely seems like too long a wait, right?

Australia (+10000)

Yep, even though it’s located 8,756 miles away from Europe, this country will take part in the 2023 Eurovision.

Actually, this is going to be the eighth time Aussies are competing in Europe’s prime song contest. Australia’s best finish was second place in 2016, but maybe Voyager’s “Promise” can do even better?

I am just going to be frank here and say I don’t consider any of these songs real Eurovision 2023 favorites. I don’t think there’s a good chance these entries can win, but they can definitely end up in the Top 10.

2023 Eurovision Prop Bets

  • Top Big 5 – France (+125)
  • Top Balkan Country – Croatia (+225)
  • Televote Winner – Ukraine (+450)

Bet365 has released their Eurovision 2023 odds for prop bets like televote winner, top country by region, and so on.

The best thing is that the odds are really lucrative, at least when it comes to those bets I’m planning to make.

The first of those is that France will do better than other members of the “Eurovision Big 5” – Spain, Italy, the United Kingdom, and Germany.

La Zarra’s song “Évidemment” is loved by critics, while history teaches us that France gets a lot of points from neighboring countries like Belgium and Switzerland, even when its song isn’t among the best ones.

Balkan countries also tend to vote for one another. This time, I think most of the countries from this region will vote for Croatia.

And who will win the Eurovision 2023 televote? My answer is Ukraine.

“Heart of Steel” probably isn’t going to get many points from the jury, but the Ukrainian diaspora can help this song win the televote.

Early 2023 Eurovision Winner Prediction

In the last 10 years, the betting favorites failed to win the contest on four occasions (2014, 2015, 2017, and 2018). However, when there was an odds-on favorite, that entry won each time.

And in 2023, there is an odds-on favorite to win the Eurovision – “Tattoo” by Loreen.

That’s my top 2023 Eurovision pick, and if you trust me, you should head to BetUS to make this bet. It’s because this is the sportsbook that’s giving the best odds for Sweden’s entry.

If the odds of -135 aren’t too attractive for your taste, I do have a few other Eurovision predictions for you. Ukraine to finish in the Top 3 is definitely a good bet, while fans of longshots should try backing Croatia to make it to the final night.

Enjoy betting on entertainment? Check out the early odds for the Harry Potter reboot that’s currently in the works.

Footnote:

  • Official Eurovision website provides all the event details, latest news, and the singing competition’s music videos from each country.
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Zarko
Naric
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Zarko Naric – the World's Greatest Sportswriter, according to his grandma.

Zarko started writing for GamblingSites.com in 2019, covering sports like soccer, tennis, and basketball, as well as some more niche sports like cycling.

In addition to writing news, picks, and blog pieces focused on sports, Zarko’s also been covering politics, TV/music contests, and more.

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