Odds and Prediction for Which 2024 US Democratic Candidate Will Win

2024 is just a few short months away, which means the next presidential election will be here before we know it.

Election campaigns will start to ramp up, and heated debates will take place. After all that, the United States will decide who will be the next Commander-in-Chief.

Not only can you bet on who the next president will be at the top political betting sites, but you can also bet on the Democratic and Republican nominees.

If you’re confident in who you think will win, I recommend putting your money where your mouth is. You can win some serious cash by predicting who wins these crucial races.

I’ll be breaking down the 2024 Democratic candidate odds from the top sites and offering my insight and final prediction. If you’re not too busy betting on Donald Trump props, let’s head over to the Democratic side of things.

Here are the 2024 Democratic candidate odds from BetUS. As you can see, current president Joe Biden is the favorite to win with a -300 price.

21 of the 46 total US presidents have served a second term, which comes out to around 45%.

Donald Trump is the favorite to win the Republican nominee, so there’s a good chance our next president will serve a second term.

Gavin Newsom is the next-most favored option at +450. The Governor of California has stated that he has no intentions of running for office, but many believe that he will. If he eventually changes his mind, at least publicly, then he could have a real chance.

Kennedy is third on the odds list, while Williamson is a super longshot with a +10000 price. Kamala Harris and Michelle Obama have +1400 odds each, followed by Gretchen Whitmer, Pete Buttigieg, and Hillary Clinton at +4000.

These are all legitimate candidates, but their odds imply they have a slim chance of winning.

If you’d like to see the full list of the 2024 Democratic candidate odds, you’ll want to go to BetUS. Feel free to read more about their site with this comprehensive BetUS review, or head straight there to place your bets now!

So, the 2024 Democratic candidate odds favor Joe Biden, but why? His approval rating isn’t all that great, and he’s 80 years old.

Well, the main reason is because he’s already president. He essentially has a head start compared to his competition.

The other Democratic nominees don’t have as much name recognition as Joe Biden, which could be the deciding factor for a lot of voters. They’d rather vote for someone they know rather than someone they don’t.

Only five presidents failed to win the primary for their second term. Franklin Pierce was the first to do so back in 1856, losing the race to James Buchanan. The other four sitting presidents who lost the primary took over office after the previous president was killed.

So, of the five presidents to lose the primary, only one of them served a full term. Joe Biden will serve a full term, which means he has a very good chance of winning again, at least according to history.

Every generation has a moment where they have had to stand up for democracy. To stand up for their fundamental freedoms. I believe this is ours.

That’s why I’m running for reelection as President of the United States. Join us. Let’s finish the job. https://t.co/V9Mzpw8Sqy pic.twitter.com/Y4NXR6B8ly

— Joe Biden (@JoeBiden) April 25, 2023

Biden’s approval rating may be low, but that doesn’t necessarily mean he’s in trouble of losing the Democratic primary.

In the end, it’s rare for a sitting president to lose the primary for their second term. That’s why Biden is such a heavy favorite across the top betting sites.

Speaking of which, it’s always a good idea to shop around for the best available odds. You can find -250 odds for Biden to win at Bovada, so head over to their site if you think he’s going to win!

It’ll be risky to bet against Joe Biden, but in case you did, there are a few good options to consider.

In terms of odds, the top four contenders are Gavin Newsom, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Kamala Harris, and Michelle Obama.

As I mentioned earlier, there’s speculation that Newsom will run for president. He’s done a phenomenal job as the Governor of California, specifically from an economic standpoint.

California’s economy would rank fifth in the world if it was its own country.

Joe Biden’s economy is often criticized, so Newsom could be seen as a better option for voters.

Gavin Newsom, speaking with Jen Psaki on MSNBC, stated that Fox News, Newsmax, OAN, and individuals on the right are dividing our country and contributing to the mental health crisis. Do you think Gavin Newsom would make a great president?pic.twitter.com/W3RgNCla93

— Tony – Resistance (@TonyHussein4) July 11, 2023

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. has taken a strong and ill-advised stance against vaccines, claiming they cause autism. He also compared the mandates to Nazi Germany, which he apologized for.

As we’ve seen with Donald Trump, spreading conspiracy theories isn’t enough to prevent you from getting into office, let alone winning the Democratic primary.

That said, it’s an awfully risky approach.

Technically Vice President Kamala Harris can run for the POTUS position, but it’s very unlikely. Something would have to happen to Biden for her to be considered a realistic option.

Michelle Obama would not be the first former first lady to win the Democratic primary. Hillary Clinton actually won the popular vote for the presidential election in 2016, but Donald Trump was elected president.

The former first lady was active while Barack Obama was in office and has remained a political activist over the years. She would likely have a strong following if she were to run herself. Would it be enough to overtake Biden or anyone else? We will have to see.

Take a closer look at Michelle Obama’s president odds for 2024 before making the call.

If you don’t think these contenders have a chance, you might be ready to move onto the 2024 US Presidential Election odds.

If you want to get into political betting, the 2024 Democratic candidate odds are a great place to start.

You can try your luck with a longshot bet like Gavin Newsom or Robert F. Kennedy Jr. or go with the current president Joe Biden.

I’ll be betting on Joe Biden since it’s uncommon for a sitting president to lose a primary. It’s only happened five times before, and four of those presidents took over for someone else.

I was a bit surprised to see Biden’s odds at their current price. It seems very likely that he will win the race, so I was expecting odds in the -500 range. But hey, I’m not complaining.

If you’re looking for the best odds for Biden, you’ll want to visit Bovada. They have him at -250.

Now that we’ve covered the Democratic party, you might be wondering about the GOP. Check out my full breakdown of the 2024 Republican candidate odds below!

Footnotes:

• Information about California’s economy is from Bull Oak Capital.
• Dave Manuel provided a history of presidents to lose the primary.
• Current candidates running for office, and more is from Forbes.