Latest UFC 299 Odds & Predictions

Last Updated March 1, 2024 8:49 am PST
UFC 299 logo at top center, UFC 299 odds & picks bottom center, UFC fighters featured with mma ring and fans in background
  • UFC 299 odds are favoring Sean O’Malley to exact his revenge over Marlon Vera on March 9.
  • Dustin Poirier is the betting underdog vs. Benoît Saint Denis, but I suspect a surprise might happen.
  • Jailton Almeida looks set to take a giant leap forward with a win over Curtis Blaydes.

The UFC 299 odds suggest we’re going to witness a historic event on March 9. Odds are so close for almost every matchup on the fight card, meaning that the top sports betting websites think anything can happen at the showdown in Miami.

I can only agree – each of the UFC 299 fights looks like a real banger. I’m not just talking about main card fights, but also prelims and early prelims.

If you’re wondering how to bet on UFC 299, I’ve got your back. Let’s look at the UFC 299 betting odds and get to my top picks and fight predictions.

Betting Odds for UFC 299

Fighter A Odds Fighter B Odds
Sean O’Malley

-230

Marlon Vera

+175

Dustin Poirier

+133

Benoît Saint Denis

-170

Kevin Holland

-120

Michael Page

-110

Gilbert Burns

-105

Jack Della Maddalena

-125

Petr Yan

-135

Song Yadong

+105

Curtis Blaydes

-115

Jailton Almeida

-115

Katlyn Cerminara

+150

Maycee Barber

-190

Mateusz Gamrot

-360

Rafael Dos Anjos

+260

Pedro Munhoz

+165

Kyler Phillips

-210

Michael Pereira

-135

Michael Oleksiejczuk

+105

Robelis Despaigne

-400

Josh Parisian

+285

CJ Vergara

+320

Asu Almabayev

-450

Joanne Wood

+160

Maryna Moroz

-200

Sean O’Malley is the fighter with the shortest odds on the UFC 299 main card. There are some preliminaries with fighters that have shorter odds, but generally speaking, this is a fantastic event from a bettor’s perspective.  

I took the odds from EveryGame, but it’s a similar situation at all the other leading MMA betting sites – BetOnline, Bovada, and others. Still, there’s one reason why you might want to use EveryGame for UFC 299 betting, especially if you don’t own an account with this sportsbook yet.

The thing is that EveryGame has a lucrative bonus for new customers. The deal in question is a 100% sign-up bonus up to $500, which comes with only an 8x rollover. The best thing is that you can use this bonus to bet on UFC 299.

UFC 299 Main Event Preview & Pick

Sean O’Malley is the UFC Bantamweight champion whose only career loss happened nearly four years ago against Marlon Vera. Now, he’s got a chance to get his revenge. Judging by the UFC 299: O’Malley vs. Vera 2 odds, he’s likely to do so.

You can be certain that O’Malley’s confidence is sky-high after winning the title last August with a spectacular KO against Aljamain Sterling. He showed the world that he’s one of the best boxers in the UFC.

Another evidence of this is that he’s seventh on the list of active fighters with the most strikes landed per minute. He lands over 7.25 significant strikes every 60 seconds, which is almost three strikes more than Vera.

Does this mean Chito is in trouble? Not necessarily. Vera is one of the toughest fighters in the 135lb division, the proof being that he’s never suffered a loss inside the distance.

But even if O’Malley doesn’t finish him, it doesn’t mean Vera will win. In fact, my O’Malley vs. Vera prediction is that the defending champ will land just enough punches and kicks to win over the judges.

I’m going to back O’Malley at EveryGame as this betting site is giving the best price on favorites. If, however, you disagree with me and wish to bet on Vera, my advice is to do it at TrustDice, especially if you still don’t have an account with this bookmaker.

The reason is that TrustDice is giving a $30 risk-free bet to new customers. This means that you can have peace of mind betting on Vera – if he loses, you will get the money back in the form of a free bet.

Best Bets for UFC 299

  • Dustin Poirier to beat Benoît Saint Denis (+140) – Visit BetUS
  • Jailton Almeida to beat Curtis Blaydes (-105) – Visit BetOnline

Benoît Saint Denis is a former French commando who’s won each of his last five UFC fights in under 10 minutes. But he’s never fought such a tough opponent as Dustin Poirier. The Diamond is exactly the kind of guy who can derail the BSD hype train.

After all, he’s the guy who beat Conor McGregor twice, as well as Michael Chandler, Max Holloway, Justin Gaethje, and many others. I can’t see why we couldn’t add Saint Denis to the list.

When it comes to Jailton Almeida, I think we could see him fighting for the title in a few years’ time. He’s incredibly fast for a heavyweight and very difficult to hit. In fact, of all the active UFC fighters, he’s the one who absorbs the least strikes (0.45 per minute).

The Brazilian is a great striker, but his most lethal weapon is grappling. So, even if wrestling expert Curtis Blaydes does take him down on March 9, we could see Almeida turning things around in his favor.

Full UFC 299 Card Predictions

  • Sean O’Malley to beat Marlon Vera
  • Dustin Poirier to beat Benoît Saint Denis
  • Michael Page to beat Kevin Holland
  • Gilbert Burns to beat Jack Della Maddalena
  • Song Yadong to beat Petr Yan
  • Jailton Almeida to beat Curtis Blaydes
  • Maycee Barber to beat Katlyn Cerminara
  • Mateusz Gamrot to beat Rafael Dos Anjos
  • Kyler Phillips to beat Pedro Munhoz
  • Michael Pereira to beat Michal Oleksiejczuk
  • Robelis Despaigne to beat Josh Parisian
  • Asu Almabaev to beat CJ Vergara
  • Joanne Wood to beat Maryna Moroz

As you’ll notice, I’m backing a lot of underdogs to win at UFC 299. However, none of them is a huge underdog. In most cases their odds are just over +100.

There are even some fighters who aren’t favorites, but who still have minus-money UFC 299 betting odds, like Michael Page or Gilbert Burns, for example.

When it comes to strong favorites, I’m confident that Maycee Barber will win, and so should Mateusz Gamrot and Robelis Despaigne.

Advice for Betting on UFC 299

UFC 299 is one of the biggest martial arts events of 2024. So, you can be 100% certain that all fighters will go all-in on Saturday. In such cases, experience has taught me that surprises do tend to happen.

Although I don’t think we’ll see an upset in the main event, I suspect some surprises will happen elsewhere. One fight that particularly looks as if a shock outcome is going to happen is Poirier vs. BSD, in which I’ll be backing The Diamond.

If you’d like to do the same, I’d suggest heading to BetUS, as they offer the best combination of price and bonuses.

My advice is to go heavy on underdogs, but even if you prefer backing favorites, you’ll still get great UFC 299 odds. Just make sure you’re finding the best pricing, wagers, and bonuses by using the best MMA sportsbooks.

Not sure where to bet on UFC 299? Use our guide below.

Footnotes:

  • UFC 299 general info is from UFC.com.
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Zarko
Naric
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Zarko Naric – the World's Greatest Sportswriter, according to his grandma.

Zarko started writing for GamblingSites.com in 2019, covering sports like soccer, tennis, and basketball, as well as some more niche sports like cycling.

In addition to writing news, picks, and blog pieces focused on sports, Zarko’s also been covering politics, TV/music contests, and more.

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