5 Best Super Bowl 58 Commercial Props

Last Updated February 6, 2024 7:26 am PST
Super Bowl 58 Commercial Prop Bets
  • Odds for Super Bowl commercial prop bets are live at BetOnline, BetUS, and other betting sites.
  • The cost of a 30-second ad to be $7M+ looks like the safest Super Bowl 58 prop bet.
  • Betting that a Super Bowl commercial will joke about Biden or Trump is +300 at BetUS.

Super Bowl commercial prop bets are meant to be fun, but they can also be very profitable. Of course, this is only true if you choose the right bets from the best Super Bowl betting sites.

In this post, I will present you with a couple of props that I’m confident will win. I will also show you a few interesting wagers that don’t seem too likely to win, but if they do, you’re in for a big payout.

30-Second Advert Cost During Super Bowl LVIII

Over 7,000,000½-160
Under 7,000,000½+120

Super Bowl viewership has been over 100 million constantly since 2009, with the 2016 game drawing more than 126.3 million viewers.

The SB viewership has constantly been growing, as has the price of commercials during the broadcast.

Here’s a breakdown of the average price of a 30-second Super Bowl commercial over the last 10 years:

  • 2023 Super Bowl – $7M
  • 2022 Super Bowl – $6.5M
  • 2021 Super Bowl – $5.5M
  • 2020 Super Bowl – $5.6M
  • 2019 Super Bowl – $5.3M
  • 2018 Super Bowl – $5.2M
  • 2017 Super Bowl – $5.0M
  • 2016 Super Bowl – $4.5M
  • 2015 Super Bowl – $4.25M
  • 2014 Super Bowl – $4.0M

Given the hype that Super Bowl 58 is getting, I think it’s very likely that the game will break the viewership record. I think so, and so do the organizers, which is why they’ll probably increase the price of the ads. Hence, my pick is “Over 7,000,000½.”

This and many other interesting Super Bowl 58 commercial prop bets are available at BetUS. This sportsbook gives -165 on this wager, which I think is a great value given how likely it is to win.

This sportsbook offers an exclusive bonus of 125% up to $2,500 with other perks like a crypto bonus and same-day payouts.

Read our BetUS review to learn more about this site, then head there to place your Super Bowl 2024 commercial prop bets.

Who Is Addison Rae Coaching in NERDS Ad?

Will Ferrell+200
Eric Stonestreet+225
Napoleon Dynamite+275
Chris Pratt+400
Mike Myers+500
Ben Stiller+700
Tom Cruise+850

Our list of Super Bowl commercial prop bets continues with the sweet NERDS commercial.

A teaser for the NERDS Candy Super Bowl commercial was released in January, showing TikTok star-turned-songstress Addison Rae giving a dance lesson to a mysterious student.

Their identity will be revealed during the Super Bowl 58 broadcast, but you can bet on it at BetOnline if you think you know the answer.

It can be anyone, but I have a theory that it will be Eric Stonestreet. Obviously, it would make the commercial more fun, but so would adding any other comedian (e.g., Will Ferrel or Ben Stiller).

The main reason, however, is that Stonestreet is a self-professed Kansas City Chiefs fan. Putting him in the commercial would make his fellow KC fans go crazy for NERDS.

This commercial prop bets for the Super Bowl is priced at +225 at BetOnline, and I’m seriously considering going big.

Who Will Arnold Schwarzenegger Save?

Athlete+120
Kid+140
Animal+200

A few weeks ago, State Farm published a 30-second Super Bowl commercial teaser. The clip suggests we’ll see Arnie doing what he does best – saving someone in trouble. But who’s it going to be?

In the teaser, you can hear grown-up voices saying that only one man can save them. This makes me think it’s probably a Kansas City player who’s in distress in this commercial.

BetOnline, BetUS, and SportsBetting.ag seem to think the same as evident from the fact that “Athlete” comes with the shortest odds of all the Super Bowl 2024 commercial prop bets for this market.

Head to any one of these betting sites to place your Super Bowl commercial prop bets.

Who Will Be Seen First in State Farm Ad?

Patrick Mahomes+100
Travis Kelce+100
Andy Reid+300

State Farm has teamed up with the Kansas City Chiefs to create a Super Bowl ad, but this isn’t the first time they’re doing a collab.

In the past, we saw coach Andy Read reveal his hidden talent for acting. Patrick Mahomes and Tavis Kelce also made appearances, but it was Reid who got the most praise from the fans.

State Farm’s ad team knows this, which is why I’m certain their Super Bowl commercial will go heavy on the coach. But will he appear before Mahomes and Kelce? I can’t see why not.

This isn’t the only prop bet involving Mahomes and Kelce. You can bet on their Super Bowl MVP odds at BetUS.

SportsBetting’s oddsmakers, however, don’t agree with me. Andy Reid is the biggest underdog for this prop with odds of +300, but exactly that is what makes me love this Super Bowl commercial wager.

Will Any Commercial Joke About Biden/Trump?

No-500
Yes+300

We’re in an election year, and things have already started to get ugly between President Biden and former President Trump. Maybe America’s in need of a comic relief?

I think Super Bowl 58 would be an ideal opportunity for that. It wouldn’t be too shocking to see a commercial dealing with one or both of them in a joking manner.

The odds for this happening are +300 at BetUS, suggesting that this isn’t one of the Super Bowl commercial props that are likely to win. But I do think there’s value in this bet.

After all, you’d win $300 on a $100 bet if someone jokes about Biden/Trump. Visit BetUS to bet on this Super Bowl commercial props wager.

If you can’t get enough Super Bowl betting, consider checking out the other 2024 Super Bowl prop bets below!

9 Best Super Bowl 58 Prop Bets

Super Bowl 58 prop bets are live with the big game closing in, and you can place your wagers at Bovada. You can win money before the game even starts by betting on the coin toss or National Anthem length. I’ll be betting on Christian McCaffrey’s (-115)...

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Footnotes:

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Zarko
Naric
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Zarko Naric – the World's Greatest Sportswriter, according to his grandma.

Zarko started writing for GamblingSites.com in 2019, covering sports like soccer, tennis, and basketball, as well as some more niche sports like cycling.

In addition to writing news, picks, and blog pieces focused on sports, Zarko’s also been covering politics, TV/music contests, and more.

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