10 Best Donald Trump Prop Bets

Last Updated October 5, 2023 7:27 am PDT
Best Donald Trump Props text featured, Donald Trump image in background

The best Donald Trump prop bets look beyond the 2024 US election odds and focus on other things that might happen to the former president over the next year or so.

From his court cases to celebrity endorsements, his margin of victory to when Trump gets divorced, there are scores of prop bets available to top political betting sites.

This guide looks at the 10 biggest props when betting on Donald Trump. See which sites carry the strangest Trump bets and the welcome offers you can trigger today.

Best Site for Betting on Donald Trump Props

Betting SiteNo. of Donald Trump PropsWelcome BonusVisit Site
Bovada650% up to $250Visit Bovada
BetUS3125%, up to $3,125Visit BetUS
BetOnline150% up to $250Visit BetOnline
Sportsbetting.ag1100% up to $500Visit SportsBetting.ag

Bovada is easily the site with the best Donald Trump prop bets. The site has followed the US election cycle and Trump for years, and was one of the first to launch odds on his future incarceration after the January 6 riots.

Right now there are six Trump props and more than 90 other political bets heading into the US election. This includes the moneyline between Trump and Harris, as well as swing state betting and odds on the House and Senate races.

You can join Bovada today and get 50% matched on your first deposit, up to $250! Of course, if you see a Donald Trump bet that you like more, feel free to consider any of these other political betting websites.

After all, BetUS offers the best bonus on this list, and they also have the second most Donald Trump wagers.

Now, let’s look at the 10 Donald Trump specials in a little more detail. We’ll begin looking at some of the possible outcomes of the November presidential election, before looking further afield to what might happen to Trump after his various legal trials.

Odds for Donald Trump’s Margin of Victory

  • Trump 0-2.49% +425
  • Trump 2.50-4.99% +1200
  • Trump 5.00-7.49% +3000
  • Trump 7.50-9.99% +8000
  • Trump 10% or Higher +8000

Of all the Donald Trump specials available, the biggest market centers on his margin of victory.

Let’s assume Trump beats Harris this fall. How big will his victory be? Sportsbetting.ag are fairly sure it will be a narrow win, perhaps falling to a few counties in two or three swing states.

Harris could, of course, lose the election despite claiming the popular vote. That’s what happened to Hillary Clinton in 2016.

If Trump wins the election then his margin of victory could be tight. He might not even win the popular vote. I can’t see any outcome beyond 0-2.49% here.

That’s my preferred bet, but you can bet on

Will Trump Win More Votes in 2024 than 2020?

  • Yes -500

He’s a simple Donald Trump bet to get you started. BetUS have run this prop bet for months and the odds keep falling. Trump isn’t guaranteed to win the 2024 US election but he’s almost certain to earn more votes.

In 2020 Trump earned 74,223,975 votes – more than seven million fewer than Biden. Thanks to population growth and Trump growing his base, we’re certain he will win more than 74.2 million votes this time around.

Whether it’s enough to win the election is another matter, but it doesn’t affect our bet. At -500 with BetOnline, this is a banker you shouldn’t overlook.

Trump is projected to get over 75 million votes this time. This is an easy bet you could add to a politics multiple.

Trump to be Elected as a Third Party Candidate

  • Yes +2000

You may think the odds of Trump being elected as a third party candidate should be higher than +2000. We agree. After all, surely the Republicans aren’t about to cast him aside, this close to the election?

Well, there is always a doubt that Trump might be forced off the GOP ticket if he is found guilty in court. This has already happened in the Hush Money trial and, should the judge be hard on Trump, he may end up in jail.

Would Republicans still back Trump from behind bars? Probably. Yet, BetOnline think it’s still a possibility that Trump forms his own third party, gets on the ballot in all 50 states, and wins the election.

I don’t think the GOP will drop Trump even if he goes to jail, but you can visit BetOnline to bet on it happening if you’d like.

Donald Trump Hush Money Sentence Odds

  • Fine -10000
  • Probation -2000
  • Community Service +400
  • Home Confinement +400
  • Incarceration (To Begin Immediately Following Court Session) +450
  • Electronic Tag +700

Talking of court cases, Trump has been found guilty in a New York court of 34 charges relating to hush money payments made to an adult movie star before the 2016 election. A jury considered it to be election interference. Trump is appealing but not before the judge passes sentence.

So, what punishment could Trump receive? Bovada think the most likely outcome is a fine at odds of -10000. Beyond that, he could be given a jail term on probation at -2000, and community service at +400.

It seems most likely that he will receive a fine and move on. Yet there’s even an option in the betting market that he receives an electronic tag (+700). That would be a fairly strange sentence.

A fine looks almost certain here so there’s no point chasing another option. That said, if you’re feeling lucky you can target some of the plus money options at Bovada.

Trump Hush Money Community Service Odds

  • None -500
  • Removing Graffiti +300
  • Helping People To Register To Vote +700
  • Lecturing At Harvard Business School +800
  • Picking Up Trash +800
  • Homeless Shelter +1000
  • Animal Shelter +1200
  • Medical Centre +1200
  • Immigration Centre +1500
  • Delivering Food To The Elderly +2000
  • Dementia Charity +2500
  • Work For The Clinton Foundation +2500
  • Helping Retired Adult Film Actresses +5000

Bovada price a community service sentence at +400, which carries a 20% probability. It’s possible we could see Trump do community service, although how practical it is for a presidential candidate to go around cleaning graffiti remains to be seen.

Graffiti cleaning is the most likely outcome, think Bovada, if Trump is to receive a community service punishment. Other options include picking up trash at +800, working in an immigration center at +1500, and a joke bet about helping retired adult film actresses at +5000.

In reality, he’s probably not getting a community service sentence.

If we assume a fine is all he’ll get from the hush money trial then betting on ‘none’ here at -500 is the smart thing to do.

Trump Federal Election Fraud Odds

  • Guilty +100
  • Not Guilty -130

There are two big court cases concerning Donald Trump that are yet to be resolved as we near the election. Bovada is taking bets on both the federal election fraud case, and the Georgia election interference case.

Currently, Trump is expected to be found not guilty in the federal election fraud trial. There are four counts alleging he tried to illegally overturn the 2020 US election.

In August 2024, prosecutors rewrote their indictment following the Supreme Court’s interpretation that sitting presidents cannot be prosecuted for conducting their presidential duties. The argument in the election fraud case will now center on whether Trump was acting in his capacity as president during the January 6 riots.

Bovada think he will not be found guilty – but the odds are tight.

We might never get a verdict. If Trump wins the election he will instruct prosecutors to drop the case against him. If he loses, the case could get caught up on so much legal entanglement that it falls apart. Assuming we do get a verdict, I still think Not Guilty is most likely.

Trump Georgia Election Interference Odds

  • Guilty +125
  • Not Guilty -165

Bovada’s odds on the Georgia election interference suggest Trump is more likely to avoid being found guilty here. That’s despite the fact he cannot avoid this case, even if he becomes president again.

The state alleges Trump pushed officials to “find” votes that didn’t exist after the 2020 election. Trump denies the charges.

This won’t come to trial before the election but it has the potential to seriously harm Trump’s reputation. He cannot rely on the Supreme Court to bail him out here, which is why this is one of the more interesting Donald Trump wagers to follow.

Given the fact this is a state trial and not a federal trial, I think it has more potential to find Trump guilty.

Celebrities to Publicly Endorse Trump

  • Joe Rogan +175
  • Guy Fieri +400
  • Scottie Scheffler +400
  • Shooter McGavin +600
  • Rob Mariano +800
  • Joey Chestnut +800
  • Adam Sandler +800
  • Jason Kelce +1000
  • Tiger Woods +1000
  • Jack Gohlke +1000
  • Snoop Dogg +1000
  • Patrick Mahomes +1200

Now we come to the real prop bets – the ones that belong on gossip sites and magazines. Sportsbooks offer fun odds here with no real knowledge of what will happen.

Trump doesn’t have the same level of celebrity endorsements as Harris, but there are a few out there. Hulk Hogan and Kanye West support the GOP leader. But who else could come on board?

According to BetOnline, Joe Rogan (+175) is the most likely celeb to back Trump, followed by Guy Fieri (+400). Golf’s Scottie Scheffler is in there at +400 too, while Tiger Woods is +1000. Trump loves golf, we all know that, but getting Woods on board seems a little out there.

Joe Rogan is the obvious choice here but Patrick Mahomes (+1200) is worth an outside shot. His wife Brittany recently liked (and un-liked) a Trump social media post. Small fry I know, but Mahomes has already dipped into politics and could become more vocal this fall.

Trump to Guest on the Joe Rogan Experience

  • Yes +150
  • No -110

Whether Trump gets Rogan’s endorsement or not, it’s highly possible that he’ll go on the world-famous podcast. Trump would probably get a soft ride here, unless Rogan really wanted to cause controversy.

It therefore makes sense for both parties to strike a deal to have him on the show.

Rogan’s show will get more political as we near the election. Trump thrives in the media spotlight, so it makes sense to get on the Joe Rogan Experience this fall.

Donald and Melania: Year Of Divorce

  • 2024 +3000
  • 2025 +1200
  • 2026 +1400
  • Not Before 2027 -2500

One of the most notable things about this year’s election campaign is the absolute absence of Melania Trump. She appeared fleetingly at the Republican convention following the failed assassination attempt on her husband’s life.

Since then, Melania is nowhere to be seen. Would she divorce her husband? If they return to the White House then probably not. However, if Trump loses then there could be a quick “uncoupling” here. Bovada have the following odds:

Let’s assume they don’t get divorced this year. If Trump loses the election then he and Melania could split. It would take months to come to a settlement, meaning 2026 is a good outside prop bet here.

Betting on Donald Trump Props in 2024

Top sportsbooks are carrying a lot of Donald Trump bets heading into the 2024 US election and some are definitely worth considering.

We know Trump’s support has grown since 2020, so he should win more votes. He and Kamala Harris are neck-and-neck in the polls, so Trump is well placed to win with a margin of less than 2.5%.

Bovada is the place to find the best Trump bets, though. The big ones to look out for focus on the federal and Georgia trials. Trump could win one but not the other.

As for the best fun Donald Trump prop bet, Joe Rogan is the top pick among high-profile celebrities who could endorse the former president before November 5.

There are a few great sites for betting on what will happen to Donald Trump, but Bovada takes the cake. Head there to see which Donald Trump props they’re still offering.

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Anthony
Haage
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Anthony is a sports writer for GamblingSites.com covering the NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, and more. He also covers other various topics such as entertainment, general sports betting tips, and more.

His favorite teams are the Chicago Bears, Bulls, Cubs, and Blackhawks. He also will be a temporary fan of any team if it means winning him bets.

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