Latest 2025 Final Four Odds & Picks

Last Updated March 17, 2025 10:16 am PDT
final four

The latest 2025 Final Four odds include all 68 teams that made the cut for this year’s March Madness tournament. While many familiar teams are favorites, the increase in upsets in recent years means no team is safe. 

This guide will discuss the odds of making the Final Four in the 2025 Men’s NCAA Basketball Tournament. I will analyze the top favorites and highlight four underdogs who I believe could pull off an upset in the coming weeks. 

Odds to Reach the 2025 Final Four

From the First Four to the four number-one seeds, the 2025 March Madness bracket is set. Here are the latest odds to make the Final Four, courtesy of Bovada

  • Duke (-140)
  • Florida (-125)
  • Auburn (+100)
  • Houston (+135)
  • Tennessee (+375)

  • Alabama (+400)
  • Texas Tech (+475)
  • Iowa State (+500)
  • Michigan State (+500)
  • Arizona (+750)

According to top college basketball betting sites, Duke (-140) has the best odds of any team to win its respective region and make the Final Four. The Blue Bloods are joined at the top of this market by their fellow number-one seeds, Florida (-125), Auburn (+100), and Houston (+135). 

Note that the odds above are for a team to win its region and make the Final Four, not to win the National Championship. For instance, Duke is listed at -140 to make the Final Four by winning the East Region. However, the Blue Devils are available at +300 to win the entire tournament. 

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Who is the Safest 2025 Final Four Bet?

Duke is the betting favorite at the best March Madness betting sites to win the 2025 National Championship. The Blue Devils also have the shortest odds to make the Final Four and are the safest bet to win their respective region. 

As a Blue Blood program, Duke is no stranger to making deep runs in March Madness. Last year, the Blue Devils made it to the Elite Eight before they were eliminated by last year’s Cinderella, NC State. 

Duke has a better seed this year, jumping from a four-seed to a one-seed. The Blue Devils won the ACC without their best player. Cooper Flagg, arguably the best player in the tournament and the favorite to win the John R. Wooden Award this year, will be back and ready for a deep run.

Which #1 Seed is on Upset Alert?

Duke, Florida, Auburn, and Houston earned their number-one seed with impressive regular and conference playoff performances. However, I think Auburn is primed for an upset in the 2025 March Madness tournament. 

Auburn is the only number-one seed not to win its conference tournament. Although the Tigers were the top seed in the SEC Tournament, they lost in the semifinals to Tennessee. The good news for the Tigers is that Tennessee and Florida, the SEC champions, are both in separate regions. 

To make the Final Four, Auburn must win the South Region. That will be easier said than done, as Auburn faces early potential matchups with Louisville. The runner-up in the ACC, and Michigan, which won the Big 10. 

4 2025 Final Four Sleepers Worth Backing

March Madness is known for shocking upsets, and it is rare for all four number-one seeds to make the Final Four. Here are four sleepers in the 2025 Final Four odds that offer intriguing betting value. 

Kentucky Wildcats (+900)

Kentucky has struggled in its recent appearances in the March Madness. The Wildcats have not made it past the second round since 2019. However, I believe that could change this year. 

The Wildcats are the #3 seed in the Midwest Region and have a first-round matchup with #14 Troy. Their toughest early matchup is a potential Sweet 16 matchup with #2 Tennessee. Kentucky will also likely have to get by #1 Houston to make the Final Four. 

Tennessee and Houston would be tough matchups, but the Wildcats are a deep team. Kentucky has six players averaging double-digit points this year. 

Texas A&M Aggies (+1200)

Another underdog that stands out in the latest is Texas A&M, which is available at 12-1 odds to win the South Region and advance to the Final Four. As mentioned above, I believe Auburn is the number-one seed most likely to miss the Final Four. 

Texas A&M could face Auburn in the Sweet 16. The Aggies must defeat #13 Yale and either #5 Michigan or #12 US San Diego to make round three. Both are formidable opponents, but they will help the Aggies prepare for a showdown with Auburn. 

Kansas Jayhawks (+1400)

The Jayhawks are the seventh-seed in the West and are available at 14-1 to win the region and make the Final Four. Kansas is favored over its round one opponent, Arkansas, but has a challenging second-round showdown with #2 St. John’s. 

Despite a disappointing regular season, it is never safe to bet against a Bill Self-coached Jayhawks squad. If Kansas can get past St. John’s, their path to the Final Four will become much more manageable. 

Louisville Cardinals (+1800)

Finally, a fourth sleeper I would consider is Louisville. Like Texas A&M, the Cardinals are in the South Region and face a potential early matchup with Auburn. 

Louisville has a challenging first opponent in #9 Creighton. The Bluejays took down DePaul and UConn in the Big East conference playoffs but lost to St John’s in the title game. 

The Cardinals also finished second in their conference playoffs, losing to Duke in the ACC title game. There is no denying that Louisville’s first two matchups will be challenging, but if the Cardinals get past Creighton and Auburn, they will have a clear path to the Final Four. 

Top Final Four Betting Tips

Betting on the Final Four odds is always a popular futures market during March Madness. Here are three tips to help you succeed when betting on this market. 

Bet on Experienced Players

One of the best tips for wagering on any March Madness market is to identify experienced teams. The one-and-done rule means that many top stars only get one shot at March Madness. 

Not every player is ready for the NBA after one season, though. Teams led by players with multiple years of collegiate experience often have an advantage in the NCAA Tournament. 

Team Chemistry and Matchups Matter

Team chemistry is another excellent indicator of how successful a school will be in the NCAA Tournament. Simply put, the best teams have players who complement each other’s strengths. 

Chemistry is not the only factor to consider, though. Stylistic matchups are also important.

If teams faced off in the regular season, then reviewing their previous games can be a great resource. For instance, if your team is playing a school that shoots a lot of threes, look at the game tape from the last time your school played a team that took a lot of three-point shots. 

Identify Teams With Momentum

March Madness is a single-elimination tournament, and momentum can make all the difference. The best way for a team to generate momentum for the NCAA Tournament is to make a deep run in their conference playoffs. 

NC State, for instance, struggled through the 2023-24 regular season. However, they quickly turned things around in the ACC playoffs and won the conference. The Wolfpack used that momentum to make a run to the Final Four as an 11th seed. 

Losing a conference playoff game can also be very motivating. Teams who lost in their conference title games, like Tennessee and Louisville, have another chance to prove they are made of championship material. 

Who Will Reach the 2025 Final Four?

The 2025 Final Four odds are packed with exciting betting opportunities. From favorites to sleepers, now is the best time to lock in value for your Final Four predictions

Here are my picks to make the Final Four in 2025:

Regardless of who you choose to bet on, Bovada is the best place to wager on your Final Four predictions. Create your Bovada account today to claim your sports bonus and start wagering on the 2025 NCAA Tournament today. 

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Shaun
Stack
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Shaun Stack is new to GamblingSites.com but has been a professional gambling writer since 2021. His writing covers a broad spectrum of sports betting and casino topics. Shaun has been featured on over a dozen websites, including The New Jersey Digest, Space Coast Daily, and Gamble Critic. He is originally from Kansas City and has a bachelor's degree from the University of Pittsburgh Bradford.
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