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Odds and Preview for 2023 PFL 1 – Top Sites, Best Bets, and Fight Predictions

Last Updated March 28, 2023 7:39 am PDT
PFL logo centered, 2023 PFL 1 Odds and Predictions text, (L-R): Rob Wilkinson, Brendan Loughnane, Marlon Moraes, and Thiago Santos
  • A brand-new new season of the Professional Fighters League starts on April 1st with PFL 1.
  • The 2023 PFL 1 odds suggest Brendan Loughnane will have an easy job against Marlon Moraes in the main event.
  • Thiago Santos and many other former UFC stars will make their PFL debuts this weekend.

The Professional Fighters League (PFL) is serious about becoming an elite promotion, the evidence being that it’s signed some real MMA legends for the 2023 season. The season kicks off on Saturday, April 1st, with PFL 1, an event featuring featherweight and light heavyweight matchups.

Stacked is the word that best describes Saturday’s PFL event, especially its main card. Every single matchup is super exciting, and the 2023 PFL 1 odds are pretty good as well.

This makes Saturday’s event ideal for betting. If you’re planning to do so, make sure to read the next section of this preview to learn where to bet on PFL 1.

Where to Bet on 2023 PFL 1

The Professional Fighters League 1 odds are available at the top US betting sites focusing on MMA betting. You may ask why, and the reason is simple.

The 2023 PFL 1 is the biggest martial arts event of the weekend.

Many sportsbooks cover Saturday’s event, but this doesn’t mean you should just pick one by random. The thing is that the sports betting odds differ from one site to another.

To maximize your betting profits, you should stick only to the sportsbooks with the best 2023 PFL 1 odds. By following the steps below, you’ll be on your way to earning real money in no time.

Latest Odds for PFL 1 in 2023

Let’s take a look at the 2023 PFL1 betting odds courtesy of BetOnline, which will focus on the main card and prelims fight odds. The main event is priced as a landslide, and several other bouts on tap for PFL 1 figure to be one-sided.

The difficulty for bettors will be deciding other ways to take advantage of what look like sure wins, or locate the upset picks worth wagering on.

2023 PFL 1 Odds for Main Card Fights

  • Brendan Loughnane (-650) vs. Marlon Moraes (+475)
  • Rob Wilkinson (-185) vs. Thiago Santos (+155)
  • Krzysztof Jotko (-450) vs. Will Fleury (+350)
  • Movlid Khaybulaev (-650) vs. Ryoji Kudo (+475)
  • Chris Wade (-181) vs. Bubba Jenkins (+151)

2023 PFL 1 Prelims Odds

  • Marthin Hamlet (-115) vs. Mohammed Fakhreddine (-115)
  • Josh Silveria (-500) vs. Sam Kei (+375)
  • Alejandro Flores (+190) vs. Daniel Torres (-240)
  • Sung Bin Jo (-150) vs. Jesus Pinedo (+120)
  • Delan Monte (-200) vs. Ty Flores (+160)
  • Cory Hendricks (+175) vs. Impa Kasanganay (-215)

Despite the 2023 PFL 1 betting odds being stacked to one side, most of these fights are probably going to be very close.

Brendan Loughnane and Movlid Khaybulaev are the two fighters with the shortest odds, but even those two won’t have an easy job. Sure, they’re better than their opponents, but I don’t think they’re such huge favorites.

The good news is that I can see a few other fights with much better betting potential.

Priced at -181, Chris Wade looks like an amazing bet from my perspective. The same goes for Impa Kasanganay (-215) on the first fight of the evening.

I can also smell some upsets on Saturday, with underdogs like Will Fleury and Thiago Santos definitely looking capable of causing a sensation.

If you want to back any of these fighters, be sure to head to BetOnline.

Top 2023 PFL 1 Picks

  • Thiago Santos to Beat Rob Wilkinson
  • Will Fleury to Beat Krzysztof Jotko
  • Chris Wade to Beat Bubba Jenkins
  • Impa Kasanganay to Beat Cory Hendricks

Thiago Santos is the underdog against Rob Wilkinson even though he’s a former UFC fighter who’s won a number of accolades in this promotion. The reason why his 2023 PFL 1 odds are +155 is that this guy lost five of his last six fights.

However, all of those happened against some real legends – Jon Jones, Glover Teixeira, Aleksandar Rakic, Magomed Ankalaev, and Jamahal Hill. Excluding Rakic, all those guys are either former or current UFC champs.

Thiago Santos is my favorite PFL 1 bet, while my top longshot for Saturday’s event is Will Fleury. Sure, Krzysztof Jotko is a better fighter, but the Pole has had only a month to prepare for the fight. It’s because Fleury was originally supposed to fight Omari Akhmedov.

When it comes to safe bets, my PFL 1 betting picks are Chris Wade and Impa Kasanganay. Wade is already a PFL legend, who’s been fighting in this promotion since its inaugural season. Since then, he’s 10-5, with one of his wins happening against Bubba Jenkins. He beat him in 2021 and I think he’s gonna do it again.

Impa Kasanganay also looks like a safe bet against Cory Hendricks. The PFL Challenger Series alumnus was impressive in his light heavyweight debut last year and I think that’s just the beginning.

2023 PFL 1 Fight Predictions

  • Brendan Loughnane to Beat Marlon Moraes
  • Thiago Santos to Beat Rob Wilkinson
  • Will Fleury to Beat Krzysztof Jotko
  • Movlid Khaybulaev to Beat Ryoji Kudo
  • Chris Wade to Beat Bubba Jenkins
  • Mohammed Fakhreddine to Beat Marthin Hamlet
  • Josh Silveria to Beat Sam Kei
  • Daniel Torres to Beat Alejandro Flores
  • Sung Bin Jo to Beat Jesus Pinedo
  • Delan Monte to Beat Ty Flores
  • Impa Kasanganay to Beat Cory Hendricks

There you have it, my top 2023 PFL 1 fight predictions. I expect favorites to get the job done in most of Saturday’s bouts.

I say “most” because there are a couple of fights in which I think underdogs may come up victorious.

I think Thiago Santos is one of them. Even though the 39-year-old veteran has had problems with his knees for years, it’s still not time for retirement. He is past his prime, but that’s the reason why he moved to PFL – he still has what it takes to rule the light heavyweight division in this promotion.

Krzysztof Jotko will be one of his top competitors for the $1 million prize at the end of the 2023 season, but the Polish fighter might not start his campaign with a win. I think Will Fleury might shock him on Saturday.

For all the remaining PFL 1 fights, I say back the betting favorites.

Advice for Betting on PFL 1 in 2023

In the PFL Challenger Series, it’s not enough to simply win a fight. You need to do it in style to get the contract with this promotion. It’s a whole different concept when it comes to the PFL regular season.

In this competition, a win brings 3 points to the winner, while a draw equals 1 point. The top four highest ranked fighters from each group will advance to the playoffs.

Knowing how PFL works, you understand that the fighters might not be willing to risk too much to get a win. Instead, we’ll probably see them take a more tactical approach.

That said, I predict that most fights on Saturday will go the distance and you can use the best betting app for MMA to place your wagers for the fights. In such cases, it’s the more experienced fighter that usually wins the judges affection.

Footnotes:

  • Fighter records taken from Sherdog.
  • The rules of the competition available at PFLmma.com.
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Zarko
Naric
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Zarko Naric – the World's Greatest Sportswriter, according to his grandma.

Zarko started writing for GamblingSites.com in 2019, covering sports like soccer, tennis, and basketball, as well as some more niche sports like cycling.

In addition to writing news, picks, and blog pieces focused on sports, Zarko’s also been covering politics, TV/music contests, and more.

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